Even though presentation
Tu.A2066(88) shows a higher pathogenicity for subtype E than for subtype
C, there are some differences in this study that do not support their
conclusions, such as the phenotype, and, in general, the evidence
supports that none of the subtypes is more pathogenic, but they have
adapted to certain routes of transmission.
Also, the presence
of in vivo recombination is important, since viruses with fragments
of two viral subtypes have been reported. Geographic borders do not
seem to exist, but a predominance of subtypes or recombinant variants
through regions or risk groups does, which will be very relevant on
the design and application of vaccines.
The appearance
of new variants in the future is expected. This has started to be
seen in areas with great dynamics of transmission such as India, where
the predominant subtype C has now two variants, C2 and C3. The first
one is probably older due to the genetic variability it presents,
and the second one may probably be a recently appearing variant(89).
This can explain the different results published on longevity of the
Indian epidemic. In Thailand, subtype B is actually a different variant
denominated B’ to differentiate it from the traditional group
B from the United States and Europe(84). This subtype B’ has
disseminated from Thailand to the southern part of China, which has
also received subtype C strains predominantly through IV drug users.
Burma has received subtypes B’ and E from Thailand(90) .
From the technical
point of view, it is important to mention that although good results
on methods such as serotypification, heteroduplex mobility assay,
and DNA hybridization have been published(91), the gold standard for
viral typification is sequencing, especially from regions over 1500
base pairs. This will be even more relevant as subtypes start to mix
and the detection of specific sequences related to certain pathogenic
characteristics becomes more important.
Unanswered
questions in areas under research
Problems not
mentioned in the literature or during the conference
The information
generated until this conference has importantly highlighted the presence
and distribution of several HIV subtypes. However, some consequences
of this information have been poorly referred to or not at all. Even
though the detection of group O has been included in diagnostic kits,
little has been said about the effectiveness of those kits with other
subtypes and their consequences on quantitation of viral load have
just started to be evaluated. Little emphasis has been placed on the
presence of double infections with two different HIV-1 subtypes, and
only two presentations have mentioned the biological importance of
such subtypes.
Finally, although
plenty of information on viral subtypes in different regions of the
world is available, very few information is available from Latin America
and the Caribbean, and especially from Honduras, where the existence
of subtypes common in Asia is suspected. Although the processing of
information from Honduras is underway (obviously originating in American
institutions), the lack of interest from the United States towards
what endemically occurs in Latin America and the Caribbean is remarkable,
although migration and the description of non-B subtypes in these
areas could make their way to this country.
It is surprising
that two aspects particularly important at the Yokohama conference
have not generated more information, and which I consider as still
important. The first one is on mother-to-child transmission, which
is a growing problem throughout the world. Little advance has been
done on the mechanisms involved as well as the adverse effects that
treatment with ZDV could carry. The second is the apparent standby
of information generated by non-progressors, and for those who have
been exposed several times but have not been infected. Although the
answer to the immune parameters against infection or against disease
lies in them, no advances have been done about this.
The absence of
immunological parameters of protection has importantly delayed the
development of vaccines. Even with new attractive candidates, the
ambiguity from decision makers to initiate effectiveness trials is
remarkable. On the other hand the information generated from phase
I and phase II studies has not been completely used, noting the absence
of information about concomitant infections which have appeared in
such studies. Finally, and owing to the great importance that mucosal
immunity might have, the lack of interest from some vaccine designers
on this field is remarkable.
Useful conclusions
for decision makers
The existing vacuum
on HIV/AIDS basic research must orient decision makers. For those
in developed countries, where most of this research is done, it will
be important to establish support policies for research projects that
have as an objective the covering of forgotten priority areas . These
areas can be determined through expert panels which must be organized
in a periodic fashion. For decision makers in Latin America and the
Caribbean, these examples must help establish a coordinated basic
research which is non repetitive, oriented to priority aspects as
those mentioned in the conclusions.
Conclusions
and Recommendations
Basic science
applied to HIV is one of the least explored fields in Latin America
and the Caribbean, which is directly related to the lack of resources
allocated to this goal and the high costs involved. As clear evidence
of this, from all presentations at the XI International conference,
only 11 originated in this geographic region under label A of basic
research. Interestingly, all of them referred to viral typification
carried over in Mexico, Argentina, Brazil and Cuba.
Due to this limitation,
it is probably difficult to make decisions on policies and actions
to carry out, because, besides being very selective, they must be
right.
The most important
advance until this conference is the combined treatment with protease
inhibitors. This treatment¾ excessively expensive according to pharmaceutical
companies because of their high production costs¾ is practically out
of reach for most individuals who need it due to the advanced stage
of their disease. Little can be done to control the prices of these
drugs, but even that must be done. It will be wise to lower taxes
related to these products and obtain better prices for health institutions
that provide them. However, a greater coverage is not probable since
total cost is around 80,000 Mexican pesos per patient per year, and
the need for treatment is on a long-term basis.
The future becomes
darker when we take into account that to evaluate this and any other
kind of therapeutics a costly assay such as viral load is needed.
This assay allows not only to evaluate treatment, but to establish
a prognosis on progression to disease; so. it is a high priority to
make it available. Again, policies that favor the import of required
equipment for quantitation of viral load and its sale at low prices
must be considered. In this case, however, we have another weapon.
Research for the development of cheaper alternate or similar techniques
must be supported. Although these recommendations could apply for
the quantitation of CD4+ lymphocytes, which is now clinically used
for prognosis, besides the existence of candidates for cheaper techniques,
it is clear that the prognostic superiority of viral load might be
supported with a high priority.
With this point
of view invaded by high costs, it is clear that the best option for
control and prevention of HIV/AIDS is at the present time education,
and for the future, the possibility of a preventive vaccine at low
cost and that can be applied massively. It is important to point out
that education for prevention must be maintained, since it will still
lie at the center of control of the epidemic even with a vaccine and
especially if this vaccine was not 100% protective, as it might happen.
At the present
time, we must continue educating, but it is necessary to take other
decisions that will be important for the future. The first of them
is the participation of Latin American and Caribbean countries in
phase III effectiveness trials for vaccine candidates. I believe it
is clear that we must participate in them as long as there is a solid
foundation for their use. On the other hand, it must be clear that
according to the number of new cases occurring in this region, with
one exception, none of our countries has the adequate scenario for
these trials. The most important reason is that the fewer the number
of cases, the greater the number of subjects who must be enrolled
and the longer the time to obtain an answer about effectiveness of
the tested candidate. Thus, African or Asian countries, such as India
or Thailand, seem to be more adequate for these trials, and maybe
the latter might start a phase III trial this year or early the next
year. The exception is Brazil, which has been used as a target by
the WHO for effectiveness studies and in which an adequate infrastructure
has been created, although the information that supports this fact
is scarce.
On the other hand,
according to the information on genetic variability of the virus and
the presence of several subtypes in different geographic regions without
a specific pattern, each country or at least a region must be prepared
to face the creation of an effective vaccine. If this vaccine is,
as it has been mentioned, subtype-directed, it is a priority to establish
in Latin America and the Caribbean adequate facilities for the optimal
typification of HIV isolates. When I speak about optimal, I believe
it is important to make some technical considerations. There are many
ways to typify HIV, but according to the objectives through which
we establish priorities, it must be done through nucleotide sequencing
of the viral envelope of selected isolates to have a complete information
on their genetic variation, especially on the region related to virus
entry into its target cells. It is clear that variation is higher,
and that specific strains are found in some countries or regions,
such as B’ in Thailand. We have commented on the fact that subtype
D viruses similar to subtype B have been found in Mexico and Honduras,
but at the present time they have not been described in other regions.
Besides, we must not forget that when two or more subtypes are found
within a region, recombination can occur, and this gives rise to the
emergence of new variants. Profound knowledge of the genetic information
of our isolates will allow for the establishment of an adequate response
to a vaccine that could be effective as created, or through modifications
according to particular characteristics of each region or country.
This typification
must be done in an oriented way. We have seen that certain subtypes
have preference for specific transmission routes, and this was confirmed
in one of the Mexican presentations, so a careful epidemiological
study of risk groups must accompany a selection of representative
cases from the population for typification since, technically and
economically. this is a technique that cannot be applied massively.
This fact is clear in Honduras where an epidemic of heterosexual transmission
has been reported and where the University of Miami has established
an outstanding epidemiological study from which some samples have
been taken for typification at Harvard University.
More sophisticated
studies as tropism or affinity of some viral variants for target cells,
such as Langerhans in the female reproductive tract, must become high
priority, since they will help determine viral pathogenic factors,
and factors from the host particular to our region.
I believe that
we must consider as high priority to include remote regions in our
countries in the system searching for the adequate control of blood
and blood derivatives to be used clinically. There is a considerable
number of HIV infection cases originated in the deficiency of a test
or an inadequate realization of the test. A system must be created
which avoids this possibility, with an adequate distribution of equipment,
training of personnel, and supervision. Besides, the use of equipment
with adequate quality control and which fulfills all possibilities
of viral subtypes present in the world must be emphasized. It is possible
to create incentives for the development of equipment and chemicals
at lower costs that may not jeopardize sensitivity or specificity,
and whose quality is adequately controlled.
Finally, the concrete
responses to the questions of our introduction are: Yes, we must invest
in basic research on HIV/AIDS in Latin America and the Caribbean,
but with clear objectives. Among the areas considered of high priority
are the possible development of cheaper techniques for the establishment
of prognosis and follow-up of treatment of patients with HIV/AIDS
and for the adequate diagnosis of carriers of such infection and of
contaminated blood products, the adequate typification of viral variants
in the region, and the study of pathogenic factors of those variants.
To do this, it is necessary for decision makers to directly rely on
experts in this basic field, who must have up-dated information, as
well as to create collaboration with prestigious foreign institutions,
always under equal terms. It is even more important to strengthen
the communication among groups who undertake basic science research
in each country and in each region to avoid double functions, a common
but sad fact due to the scarcity of resources.
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